tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post7006888521731675457..comments2023-06-02T11:08:09.068+01:00Comments on From 0 to Poker: Crazy Day!katerina289http://www.blogger.com/profile/02423604618790782063noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-76900558481712067172012-05-11T12:24:10.706+01:002012-05-11T12:24:10.706+01:00See, this is why it's a never-ending debate. W...See, this is why it's a never-ending debate. We can go on and on like this forever and never convince each other about our point of view... :Pkaterina289https://www.blogger.com/profile/02423604618790782063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-80284847936546425682012-05-09T17:31:47.580+01:002012-05-09T17:31:47.580+01:00The most important fact is that EV line has much m...The most important fact is that EV line has much more lower variance than the green line, that's the point why we should look at the red line. <br />So if you want to know your performance, red line will tell you much more accurate information.<br />Also based on a monthly volume of games/hrs and EV line for all my played games i calculate an expected profit for each coming month.Roy4lpl4yorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11519091833481197159noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-13732725753747221202012-05-09T13:15:40.685+01:002012-05-09T13:15:40.685+01:00Hi Luis!
That's exactly the thing, it always ...Hi Luis!<br /><br />That's exactly the thing, it always affects me when I see the money in the cashier going away. Not because the amount is that relevant to me, but because the bankroll that I've worked so hard to build is disappearing into thin air... Something to work on I guess!<br /><br />Good luck at the tables!katerina289https://www.blogger.com/profile/02423604618790782063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-25960050325292604272012-05-09T13:09:29.395+01:002012-05-09T13:09:29.395+01:00Ok, so let's assume that you are right, and as...Ok, so let's assume that you are right, and as you say it works after hundreds of thousands of games. If you have played so much, then you are looking at your results on the LONG run, so what you see should be little affected by variance. I'm sure we agree that if you play 10 games you are greatly affected by variance whereas if you play 1 million, you still get some variance but your results are closer to the EV ones and reflect your skill as a player. In that case, why would you need to look at HEM's EV line? It's just pointless, plus if it's working, it won't be far from your true results anyway.<br /><br />The cool idea with the EV line (and what I think they were trying to achieve)would be to show you what your EV results are within a shorter period of time, where you ARE affected by variance, good or bad, but you can't know what your EV is cause you are only looking on the SHORT term results. And the EV line was supposed to give you a reflection of the long run, but unfortunately that just does not work.katerina289https://www.blogger.com/profile/02423604618790782063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-75152884109381410992012-05-08T19:51:16.978+01:002012-05-08T19:51:16.978+01:00I agree with both regarding the general ideas abou...I agree with both regarding the general ideas about looking at the cashier. I personal don't feel that affects much of my play, If I am making a good bankroll management looking at the cashier it will be the same as long as you can detach from money.<br />I don't play hypers but because they are a high variance format, I think you need the biggest sample size as possible.<br />I don't care too much about the HM red line, as long as I can make best possible decision at the tables, that is the most important.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08010661411603294268noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-25834551797830468232012-05-08T13:56:02.533+01:002012-05-08T13:56:02.533+01:00yep, i am one of those who believe it's reliab...yep, i am one of those who believe it's reliable. I have read about that a lot of articles but this one (http://gametheoryinpractice.blogspot.com/2011/10/hem-red-line.html) seems to be the best.<br /><br />The problem is that we need to be looking at the bigger sample size and that's imo hundreds of thousands of satellites and truly have to say not everyone will achieve those numbers and even if some1 will, there is no guarantee to have a chance to see red line close to green line, coz this has most to do with term "variance".Roy4lpl4yorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11519091833481197159noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-77508539515764752492012-05-08T01:21:19.876+01:002012-05-08T01:21:19.876+01:00Ooooh, you touched another never-ending debate: wh...Ooooh, you touched another never-ending debate: whether the EV line of HEM is reliable or not... After a lot of arguing and experimentation, I've come to believe that it's not. Anyway, you're right, the only thing to focus on is the decision you make each time. I'll try to check my balance less often...katerina289https://www.blogger.com/profile/02423604618790782063noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6481160529769700304.post-17948617713513404592012-05-08T00:46:14.305+01:002012-05-08T00:46:14.305+01:00That's never-ending dilemma how often to check...That's never-ending dilemma how often to check your cashier. Dangerous thing is that looking at cashier can get you on tilt, so the answer is check your cashier as little as possible especially if you feel you are running bad. <br />Personally i never check the cashier within a session (playing too many tables and different buy-ins and coz of that a lot of main tournaments have been registered so this number says nothing to me at that moment) but what i do is checking my EV graph in HEM from time to time.<br /><br />Remember, there is only one thing to focus on and that's making the good decisons.Roy4lpl4yorhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11519091833481197159noreply@blogger.com